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    面向低碳转型的生物质基SAF工艺研究进展:资源−环境−经济评估

    Research progress on biomass-based SAF processes for low-carbon transition: Resource-environmental-economic assessment

    • 摘要: 随着全球航空业碳排放问题日益严峻,生物质基可持续航空燃料(SAF)因其生产和使用过程的低碳特性成为航空业碳减排的重要发展方向。但是,现有生物质基SAF的生产成本显著高于传统化石航煤。因此,通过综合评估生物质基SAF生产过程的资源消耗、环境影响和经济效益对优化SAF生产工艺,降低SAF生产成本,实现低碳航煤规模化生产具有重要意义。系统综述了近年来关于生物质基SAF生产工艺的生命周期评价(LCA)和技术经济性分析(TEA)的研究进展,从资源、环境与经济角度对比分析了不同技术路线的优劣势。在生命周期评价方法中,针对生物质基SAF生产的碳足迹评估最为普遍,被广泛应用于多种SAF生产工艺。统计分析结果表明:虽然各生产工艺的碳减排效果差异较大,但均远低于传统化石航煤,碳减排百分比为17.4%~96.8%。此外,LCA也被用于评估生物质航煤生产过程中除碳排放外的其他环境影响。对气化费托工艺(G−FT)和水相重整工艺(APR)的LCA结果表明:除碳排放外,2种工艺分别对酸化潜值和人体毒性潜值的贡献最大。敏感性分析表明:土地利用方式、产氢方法、电力来源的变化对碳足迹产生了显著影响。基于层次分析法(AHP)和㶲分析法的LCA进一步拓展了传统LCA的评估维度,前者通过多视角赋权实现环境影响的综合量化,后者从热力学角度揭示了能源利用效率与资源消耗的关系。技术经济性分析表明:原料成本和生产规模是影响生物质基SAF销售价格的主要因素,扩大生产规模可在一定程度上分摊资本投资,降低原料成本。敏感性分析也显示生物质价格波动对经济性的影响最大,生物航煤生产过程受到多种不确定度的影响。此外,结合生命周期思想的㶲经济分析表明,自供电方案通过减少化石能源依赖,显著降低了环境成本,提升了经济收益。未来研究需进一步优化原料供应链、提高转化效率、推动绿氢应用,同时建议政府加强政策支持,合理制定差异化碳税和补贴政策以降低生产成本。通过多维度评估为生物质基SAF生产工艺的技术改进与规模化应用提供了理论依据,助力航空业降碳增效,实现可持续发展。

       

      Abstract: As the issue of carbon emissions in the global aviation industry becomes increasingly severe, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) derived from biomass has emerged as a crucial development direction for carbon reduction in this sector, owing to its low-carbon characteristics during production and use. However, the production cost of existing biomass-based SAF is significantly higher than that of traditional fossil jet fuel. Therefore, a comprehensive assessment of the resource consumption, environmental impact, and economic benefits associated with the production process of biomass-based SAF is crucial for optimizing SAF production technology. This will help reduce production costs and facilitate the large-scale production of low-carbon jet fuel. This article provides a systematic review of recent advancements in the life cycle assessment (LCA) and techno-economic analysis (TEA) of biomass-based SAF production processes. It conducts a comparative analysis of various technological pathways from the perspectives of resources, environmental impact, and economic viability, highlighting their respective advantages and disadvantages. Among the life cycle assessment methods, the carbon footprint assessment for biomass-based SAF production is the most common and is widely used in a variety of SAF production processes. The statistical analysis results indicate that although the carbon reduction effectiveness of various production processes exhibits considerable variation, all demonstrate significantly lower carbon emissions compared to conventional fossil-based jet fuel, with carbon emission reduction percentages ranging from 17.4% to 96.8%. Moreover, LCA is employed to evaluate other environmental impacts besides carbon emissions in biomass-derived jet fuel production systems. The LCA results for the gasification Fischer-Tropsch (G−FT) process and aqueous phase reforming (APR) process revealed that, in addition to carbon emissions, these two production pathways emerged as predominant contributors to acidification potential and human toxicity potential, respectively. Sensitivity analysis shows that changes in land use, hydrogen production methods and power sources have significant impacts on carbon footprint. Furthermore, the LCA based on Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and exergic analysis significantly expand the evaluation dimensions of conventional LCA. The AHP-based approach enables comprehensive quantification of environmental impacts through multi-perspective weighting, while the exergic analysis method elucidates the relationship between energy utilization efficiency and resource consumption from a thermodynamic standpoint. The techno-economic analysis revealed that feedstock costs and production scale constitute the predominant determinants influencing the market price of biomass-derived sustainable aviation fuel. Expanding the production scale can, to a certain extent, distribute capital investment and reduce raw material costs. Sensitivity analysis further demonstrates that the fluctuation of biomass prices exhibits the most significant impact on the economy, and the production process of bio-jet fuel is affected by multiple uncertainties. Additionally, the exergic economic analysis incorporating life cycle thinking demonstrates that the self-powering scheme significantly reduces environmental costs while enhancing economic benefits by decreasing fossil energy dependence. Future research should focus on further optimizing the raw material supply chain, improving conversion efficiency, and promoting the application of green hydrogen. Additionally, it is recommended that governments strengthen policy support by implementing well-designed differentiated carbon tax and subsidy schemes. The multi-dimensional assessment provides a theoretical foundation for both technological optimization and large-scale application of biomass-based SAF production processes, helping the aviation industry reduce carbon emissions and increase efficiency, and achieve sustainable development.

       

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