高级检索

    国际CCUS政策体系历史发展经验研究

    International perspectives on policy frameworks for CCUS: Analysis of historical development

    • 摘要: 随着全球应对气候变化的进程不断加快,碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS)技术以其在“双碳”目标中不可或缺的地位,获得各国越来越广泛的关注。近年来,多国政府通过立法、财政激励和技术路线图等多元政策工具,大力推动CCUS示范项目建设,以加速技术的商业化转化。首先,基于国际能源署(IEA)政策数据库(1970—2024年)系统梳理了全球CCUS相关政策,依据功能属性、作用对象与实施路径将其归纳为13类政策工具,并构建了“经济激励–国家策略–立法监管–社会需求”的四维政策体系框架;其次,以项目宣布数量位列前10的代表性国家为样本,共计筛选识别了178条政策文本和319个项目案例,进行定性与定量相结合的系统分析。结果表明:全球CCUS政策体系呈现“时间上加速、类型上多元化、国家间差异化”并存的三重趋势,其中经济激励类政策美国占比最高(19%)、国家策略类政策英国占比最高(16%)、立法监管类政策美国占比最高(53%)、社会需求类政策澳大利亚占比最高(15%);面板固定效应回归模型进一步表明,政策与项目宣布数量存在显著正相关,其中经济激励的动效应最为显著,凸显财税和补贴等政策工具在推动项目落地方面发挥着关键作用。在“双碳”目标引导下,中国可借鉴国际经验,在现有碳市场的基础上针对CCUS技术构建专项的多元化经济激励机制,并持续健全监管体系、深化国际合作以实现政策协同,加快CCUS技术规模化部署。

       

      Abstract: Amid the accelerating global response to climate change, carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies have attracted increasing international attention due to their indispensable role in carbon-neutrality strategies. In recent years, governments across multiple countries have actively advanced CCUS demonstration projects through diverse policy instruments, including legislation, fiscal incentives, and technology roadmaps, in order to expedite commercialization. Against this backdrop, this study systematically reviews global CCUS-related policies from 1970 to 2024 using the International Energy Agency (IEA) policy database, categorizing them into 13 policy tools according to functional attributes, target groups, and implementation pathways, and developing a four-dimensional framework comprising economic incentives, national strategies, legislative and regulatory measures, and social demand. Using the top ten countries by announced project numbers as the sample, we identify 178 policy texts and 319 project cases for integrated qualitative and quantitative analysis. The results reveal three concurrent trends in the global CCUS policy landscape: Temporal acceleration, diversification of policy types, and cross-country heterogeneity. Specifically, economic incentives are most prevalent in the United States (19%), national strategies in the United Kingdom (16%), legislative and regulatory measures in the United States (53%), and social demand policies in Australia (15%). Furthermore, a panel fixed-effects regression further indicates a significant positive correlation between policies and the number of project announcements, with the dynamic effect of economic incentives being the most pronounced—highlighting the critical role of fiscal and subsidy instruments in facilitating project implementation. Guided by China’s dual-carbon targets, policy design could draw on international experience by establishing diversified, CCUS-specific economic incentive mechanisms within the existing carbon market, while continuously strengthening regulatory frameworks and deepening international cooperation to achieve policy synergies and accelerate large-scale CCUS deployment.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回