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    基于NSGA-II算法的火电−新能源容量比例配置优化

    Optimization of thermal power new energy capacity ratio configuration based on NSGA-II Algorithm

    • 摘要: 为促进电力系统的低碳化转型,降低能源消耗和二氧化碳排放量,合理规划可再生能源与火电的装机容量比例,降低系统成本,减少弃风弃光情况的出现,首先建立火风光水电力系统成本模型,构建非支配排序多目标遗传算法(Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II,NSGA-II),并以系统总成本最低、可再生能源发电量最大为目标,进行电力系统装机容量配置优化。并对模型的合理性进行验证,研究表明:应用NSGA-II算法对火电−新能源容量比例配置优化结果具有合理性,在我国西北某地区火电∶新能源=1∶1.5最佳;火电机组灵活性改造对新能源装机的承载能力与消纳能力具有一定提升,但长期作用有限;当前情况下,过度提高新能源装机容量占比将会增加弃风弃光量与系统总成本,其中,风电装机容量较大时系统总成本增加较多;考虑火电机组灵活性改造与储能装机加入的情况下,火电占比降至40%较好。

       

      Abstract: In order to promote the low-carbon transformation of the power system, reduce energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions, rationally plan the ratio of installed capacity between renewable energy and thermal power, reduce system costs, and reduce the occurrence of wind and light abandonment, the cost model of fire, wind, light and water power system is first established. Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) was constructed to optimize the installed capacity allocation of the power system with the goal of lowest total system cost and maximum renewable energy generation. The rationality of the model is verified. The results show that the NSGA-II algorithm is reasonable to optimize the ratio allocation of thermal power and new energy capacity. In a northwest region of China, thermal power∶new energy = 1∶1.5. The flexible transformation of thermal power units has a certain improvement in the carrying capacity and absorption capacity of new energy installed capacity, but the long-term effect is limited. Under the current situation, excessive increase in the proportion of installed capacity of new energy will increase the amount of abandoned wind and light and the total system cost, among which, the total system cost will increase more when the installed capacity of wind power is large; Considering the flexible transformation of thermal power units and the addition of energy storage installations, the proportion of thermal power is reduced to 40%.

       

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