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    基于数据驱动的SCR系统性能预测及优化模型研究

    Research on performance prediction and optimization model of SCR system based on data driving

    • 摘要: NOx质量浓度预测和喷氨优化对于SCR脱硝系统和机组运行具有重要意义,为了克服SCR系统各运行变量间存在的不同时间延迟以及相互耦合问题,提出了一种考虑了时间延迟的NOx质量浓度预测及喷氨量优化模型。首先根据变量间最大互信息系数确定了变量间的时间延迟,并重构了数据集。然后基于平均影响值法确定了最优输入变量集,并建立了SCR系统出口NOx质量浓度的神经网络预测模型。最后采用了粒子群算法对出口SCR系统进行喷氨量优化,在满足NOx排放限额的前提下减少出口氨逃逸量。基于电厂实际运行数据测试结果表明:所提出的模型能够较好的预测出口NOx质量浓度,考虑各变量时间延迟能够提高SCR脱硝系统预测准确度。利用平均影响值法进行特征处理能够大大减小训练的耗时,同时对模型的精度影响不大。而利用粒子群算法能够指导喷氨量的调节,避免出口NOx质量浓度超标。

       

      Abstract: NOx mass concentration prediction and ammonia injection optimization are of great significance for SCR system and unit operation. In order to overcome the problem of different time delays and mutual coupling among various operating variables of the SCR system, a model for the prediction of NOx mass concentration and optimization of ammonia injection volume considering time delays is proposed. Firstly, the delay time between variables is determined according to the maximum mutual information coefficient between variables, and the data set is reconstructed. The optimal input variable set is determined based on the mean influence value method. And then the neural network prediction model of NOx mass concentration for SCR system outlet is established. Finally, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to optimize the ammonia injection amount of the SCR system at the outlet, so as to reduce the ammonia escape amount at the outlet as much as possible under the premise of avoiding NOx exceeding the standard. The test results based on the actual operation data of the power plant show that the proposed model can better predict the outlet NOx mass concentration. Considering the time delay of each variable can improve the prediction accuracy of SCR system. The mean influence value method for feature processing can greatly reduce the training time, and has little impact on the accuracy of the model; Particle swarm optimization can be used to guide the adjustment of ammonia injection amount and avoid the outlet NOx mass concentration exceeding the standard.

       

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